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Showing posts from May, 2024

Ranking of 2023 Atlantic hurricane season predictions

 Apologies for this being so late. Post-season analysis has been completed over a month ago, and totals have been established as 20 storms - 7 hurricanes - 3 major hurricanes. The winner is clear: Congratulations JustWatchingSocietyFall !!!!!!    The combined error is calculated as follows: sqrt( (E_ns)^2 / 14.59 + (E_hu)^2 / 7.22 + (E_mh)^2 / 3.22 ) where E_ns is error in number of nameable storms, E_hu is error in number of hurricanes and E_mh is error in number of of major hurricanes. The following has the format of ranking. / predicted named storms / predicted hurricanes / predicted major hurricanes / combined error / and Disqus/Twitter(X) handle at time of giving prediction (possible Twitter/X account name in parentheses)       1. / 18 /  5 /  2 /  1.0671 / JustWatchingSocietyFall (@AnAmerican2773)     2. / 16 /  8 /  3 /  1.1114 / Blade (@winterice)     3. / 22 /...