elioe's tracks

2025 Atlantic hurricane season nameable storms - hurricanes - major hurricanes Predictions as of April 5th, 2025 Deadline for new and revised predictions is May 31st, 2025 at 23:59 UTC Anyone wishing to participate can do so on X-Twitter or on Facebook . ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ elioe 19-6-3 (@elioeFIN) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   T he total error will be calculated as sqrt( (E_ns)^2 / 14.59 + (E_hu)^2 / 7.22 + (E_mh)^2 / 3.22 ) , where E_ns is error in number of nameable storms, E_hu is error in number of hurricanes, and E_mh is error in number of major hurricanes. The error will be calculated using the finalized totals from post-season analysis by NHC.

Post-season analysis has been completed now, and totals have been established as 18 storms - 11 hurricanes - 5 major hurricanes. The winner is perfect: Congratulations WorthyIsMyName !!!!!!!   The combined error is calculated as follows: sqrt( (E_ns)^2 / 14.59 + (E_hu)^2 / 7.22 + (E_mh)^2 / 3.22 ) where E_ns is error in number of nameable storms, E_hu is error in number of hurricanes and E_mh is error in number of of major hurricanes. The following has the format of ranking. / predicted named storms / predicted hurricanes / predicted major hurricanes / combined error / and Disqus/Facebook/Twitter(X) handle at time of giving prediction (possible Twitter/X account name in parentheses)  1. / 18 / 11 /  5 /  0.0000 / WorthyIsMyName (@DracoPryn88)  2. / 18 / 10 /  4 /  0.6701 / L M (@Jazz2M)  3. / 19 / 10 /  4 /  0.7194 / Alaric (@IsatgmJames)  4. / 18 /  9 /  5 /  0.7443 / Stanley Garstka (@Stracker234...