elioe's tracks

Post-season analysis has been completed now, and totals have been established as 18 storms - 11 hurricanes - 5 major hurricanes. The winner is perfect: Congratulations WorthyIsMyName !!!!!!!   The combined error is calculated as follows: sqrt( (E_ns)^2 / 14.59 + (E_hu)^2 / 7.22 + (E_mh)^2 / 3.22 ) where E_ns is error in number of nameable storms, E_hu is error in number of hurricanes and E_mh is error in number of of major hurricanes. The following has the format of ranking. / predicted named storms / predicted hurricanes / predicted major hurricanes / combined error / and Disqus/Facebook/Twitter(X) handle at time of giving prediction (possible Twitter/X account name in parentheses)  1. / 18 / 11 /  5 /  0.0000 / WorthyIsMyName (@DracoPryn88)  2. / 18 / 10 /  4 /  0.6701 / L M (@Jazz2M)  3. / 19 / 10 /  4 /  0.7194 / Alaric (@IsatgmJames)  4. / 18 /  9 /  5 /  0.7443 / Stanley Garstka (@Stracker234...

Totals for North Atlantic hurricane season: 22 (sub)tropical cyclones, 19 nameable storms, 6 hurricanes, 3 major (ACE=93) Totals for East Pacific hurricane season: 18(sub)tropical cyclones, 17 nameable storms, 10 hurricanes, 4 major (ACE=89) Totals for Central Pacific hurricane season: 4 tropical cyclones, 4 nameable storms, 2 hurricanes, 1 major Totals for Pacific typhoon season: 32 storms, 18 typhoons, 10 super typhoons (JTWC count) Totals for North Indian Ocean cyclone season: 6 storms, 4 hurricane-equivalent, 2 major hurricane-equivalent (JTWC count) One (sub)tropical storm in Mediterranean, one hurricane No (sub)tropical cyclones in Baltic Sea State of Niño 3.4: beginning as weak La Niña, becoming cool neutral in MAM, warm neutral in ASO Arctic sea ice minimum: 3.75 million km² Global annual average temperature: 1.20 degrees Celsius above 20th century average Circle coloration scheme Individual storm tracks in North Atlantic Tropical Storm ANDREA   Tropical Depression TWO ...

 Apologies for this being so late. Post-season analysis has been completed over a month ago, and totals have been established as 20 storms - 7 hurricanes - 3 major hurricanes. The winner is clear: Congratulations JustWatchingSocietyFall !!!!!!    The combined error is calculated as follows: sqrt( (E_ns)^2 / 14.59 + (E_hu)^2 / 7.22 + (E_mh)^2 / 3.22 ) where E_ns is error in number of nameable storms, E_hu is error in number of hurricanes and E_mh is error in number of of major hurricanes. The following has the format of ranking. / predicted named storms / predicted hurricanes / predicted major hurricanes / combined error / and Disqus/Twitter(X) handle at time of giving prediction (possible Twitter/X account name in parentheses)       1. / 18 /  5 /  2 /  1.0671 / JustWatchingSocietyFall (@AnAmerican2773)     2. / 16 /  8 /  3 /  1.1114 / Blade (@winterice)     3. / 22 /...

2024-25 Late Shem 082 - 30U / 31P around 2025-04-22-2100Z 2025-04-23-18Z 8.2S 131.0E 20kt (LO) 2025-04-24-18Z 8.6S 131.6E 15kt (LO) 2025-04-25-18Z 10.0S 132.3E 20kt (LO) 2025-04-26-18Z 11.2S 132.9E 30kt (TD) 2025-04-27-18Z 11.6S 129.7E 40kt (TS) 2024-25 Late Shem 081 - 30U / 31P around 2025-04-22-0900Z 2025-04-23-06Z 8.9S 131.0E 30kt (TD) 2025-04-24-06Z 7.9S 130.8E 25kt (TD) 2025-04-25-06Z 8.9S 132.3E 25kt (TD) 2025-04-26-06Z 10.1S 132.7E 25kt (TD) 2025-04-27-06Z 9.9S 132.3E 30kt (TD) 2024-25 Early Shem 086 - 30U / 31P before 2025-04-22-0830Z 2025-04-23-06Z 8.8S 131.0E 30kt (TD) 2025-04-24-06Z 7.7S 131.0E 25kt (TD) 2025-04-25-06Z 8.8S 132.5E 25kt (TD) 2025-04-26-06Z 10.0S 132.8E 25kt (TD) 2025-04-27-06Z 10.5S 132.6E 35kt (TS) 2024-25 Late Shem 080 - 30U / 31P around 2025-04-22-0300Z 2025-04-23-00Z 9.3S 131.7E 30kt (TD) 2025-04-24-00Z 8.1S 130.9E 25kt (TD) 2025-04-25-00Z 8.7S 132.2E 25kt (TD) 2025-04-26-00Z 10.7S 133.5E 25kt (TD) 2025-04-27-00Z 10.6S 132.1E 30kt (TD) 2024-25 Early Shem ...