elioe's tracks

Totals for North Atlantic hurricane season: 25 (sub)tropical cyclones, 24 nameable storms, 14 hurricanes, 8 major (ACE=324) Totals for East Pacific hurricane season: 16 (sub)tropical cyclones, 13 nameable storms, 6 hurricanes, 2 major (ACE=71) Totals for Central Pacific hurricane season: 3 tropical cyclones, 3 nameable storms, no hurricanes Totals for Pacific typhoon season: 20 storms, 11 typhoons, 5 super typhoons (JTWC count) Totals for North Indian Ocean cyclone season: 5 storms, 2 hurricane-equivalent, 2 major hurricane-equivalent (JTWC count) One (sub)tropical storm in Mediterranean, no hurricanes No (sub)tropical cyclones in Baltic Sea State of Niño 3.4: becoming neutral in MAM, weak La Niña in MJJ, moderate La Niña in ASO Arctic sea ice minimum: 3.12 million km² Global annual average temperature: 1.06 degrees Celsius above 20th century average Circle coloration scheme Individual storm tracks in North Atlantic Tropical Storm ALBERTO  Hurricane BERYL Hurricane CHRIS Tropic...

  2023 Atlantic hurricane season nameable storms - hurricanes - major hurricanes Final predictions as of June 1st, 2023 Deadline for new and revised predictions was May 31st, 2023 at 23:59 UTC italics indicates midpoint of a range --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Arkenar (crewed) 15.5-7-2 (@avplutoenjoyer) Athena 13-6-3 BaltimoreBrian 16-9-4 Blade 16-8-3 (@winterice) DOM-O 13-6-2 (@BigOlGoofyWorld) Duane A. Linn (Be Mindful) 22-7-5 (@ThePuritanSage) elioe 11-7-2 (@elioeFIN) GatorWX 12-5-2 Harold Carr 12-6-2 (@HaroldCarr10) heartistrueblue 11-7-2 (@NotKaren_68) Jason Ludwig 8-3-1 (@JasonLud1198) jem 8-4-2 (@jemtrails) John Marschand 8-3-1 (@InMyBAGel) Joseph Sturch 13-7-4 justbooket 11-5-1 (@justbooket) JustWatchingSocietyFall 18-5-2 (@AnAmerican2773) Lemuel Taylor 15-7-3 (@LemTay1248) Liam 13-5-2 (@cleanse__) LimWx (Off Season from Hurricanes) 15-6.5-3 (@LimWeather) Matt Schiess 16-9-3 (@wayfastwxnerd)...

As I'm writing this, post-season analysis has advanced to the point, that any changes in seasonal totals (14-8-2) are unlikely. The winner is clear: Congratulations Telford Holmes !!!!! The combined error is calculated as follows: sqrt( (E_ns)^2 / 12.1 + (E_hu)^2 / 6.4 + (E_mh)^2 / 2.7 )   where E_ns is error in number of nameable storms, E_hu is error in number of hurricanes and E_mh is error in number of of major hurricanes. The following has the format of ranking. / predicted named storms / predicted hurricanes / predicted major hurricanes / combined error / and Disqus/Twitter handle at time of giving prediction (possible Twitter account name in parentheses)  1. / 14   /  8 /  3   /  0.60858 / Telford Holmes  2. / 14   /  7 /  3   /  0.72569 / Rommel Gomez Vera (@habboerwin98)  3. / 16   /  8 /  3   /  0.83723 / elioe (@elioeFIN)  4. ...

Totals for North Atlantic hurricane season: 13 (sub)tropical cyclones, 11 nameable storms, 7 hurricanes, 2 major (ACE=71) Totals for East Pacific hurricane season: 19 (sub)tropical cyclones, 18 nameable storms, 12 hurricanes, 6 major (ACE=140) Totals for Central Pacific hurricane season: 3 tropical cyclones, 2 nameable storms, 1 hurricane, 1 major Totals for Pacific typhoon season: 22 storms, 11 typhoons, 6 super typhoons (JTWC count) Totals for North Indian Ocean cyclone season: 3 storms, 2 hurricane-equivalent, 1 major hurricane-equivalent (JTWC count) Two (sub)tropical storms in Mediterranean, no hurricanes No (sub)tropical cyclones in Baltic Sea State of Niño 3.4: becoming neutral in MAM, weak El Niño in MJJ Arctic sea ice minimum: 3.33 million km² Global annual average temperature: 1.05 degrees Celsius above 20th century average Circle coloration scheme Individual storm tracks in North Atlantic Tropical Storm ARLENE Tropical Depression TWO Tropical Storm BRET Hurricane CINDY H...