2026 hurricane season predictions


2026 Atlantic hurricane season

nameable storms - hurricanes - major hurricanes

Predictions as of March 30th, 2026

Deadline for new and revised predictions is May 31st, 2026 at 23:59 UTC

Anyone wishing to participate could do so on X-Twitter or on Facebook.

--------------------------------------------------------------

 elioe 12-7-2 (@elioeFIN)

---------------------------------------------------------------

 

 The total error will be calculated as

sqrt( (E_ns)^2 / 14.59 + (E_hu)^2 / 7.22 + (E_mh)^2 / 3.22 )

, where E_ns is error in number of nameable storms, E_hu is error in number of hurricanes, and E_mh is error in number of major hurricanes.

The error will be calculated using the finalized totals from post-season analysis by NHC.
 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Advisory list

2025-26 Early Shem 067 - NARELLE before 2026-03-20-1430Z 2026-03-21-12Z 13.6S 136.7E 80kt (HU) 2026-03-22-12Z 14.0S 132.2E 30kt (TD) 2026-03-23-12Z 14.4S 127.5E 30kt (TD) 2026-03-24-12Z 15.4S 123.1E 40kt (TS) 2026-03-25-12Z 16.3S 118.6E 70kt (HU)  2025-26 Early Shem 066 - NARELLE before 2026-03-18-2030Z 2026-03-19-18Z 13.5S 144.6E 105kt (HU) 2026-03-20-18Z 13.5S 140.6E 55kt (TS) 2026-03-21-18Z 13.5S 135.9E 55kt (TS) 2026-03-22-18Z 13.6S 131.6E 25kt (TD) 2026-03-23-18Z 14.2S 127.9E 35kt (TS)  2025-26 Late Shem 095 - NARELLE around 2026-03-17-0900Z 2026-03-18-06Z 13.0S 151.6E 70kt (HU) 2026-03-19-06Z 14.1S 146.8E 95kt (HU) 2026-03-20-06Z 14.2S 142.3E 60kt (TS) 2026-03-21-06Z 14.1S 137.0E 70kt (HU) 2026-03-22-06Z 14.6S 132.7E 40kt (TS)  2026 Late Wpac 010 - NURI around 2026-03-11-0900Z 2026-03-12-06Z 11.5N 139.0E 30kt (TD) 2026-03-13-06Z 13.7N 142.2E 25kt (LO) 2026-03-14-06Z 19.8N 149.5E 25kt (DB) 2026-03-15-06Z dissipated  2025-26 Late Shem 094 - 29U / 24P around 2026-...
Read more

2025 hurricane season predictions

Image
2025 Atlantic hurricane season nameable storms - hurricanes - major hurricanes Final predictions as of June 1st, 2025 Deadline for new and revised predictions was May 31st, 2025 at 23:59 UTC Anyone wishing to participate could do so on X-Twitter or on Facebook . ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 24-13-6 (@prosopagnosic) Alaric 21-9-5 (@IsagtmJames) Bill Tooke 17-11-6 (@BillTooke) Daniel Nyman 16-8-3 (@DanielNymanTV) DonnaDee  14-9-3  (@Peony459) D ☈ew Thiesing 18-10-4 (@DrewThiesing) elioe 19-6-3 (@elioeFIN) eve 22-9-5 (@sneevies) James Mick 0-0-0 (@JamesMichne) Jose E. Rodriguez Y.  13-8-2  (@DrJery) Joseph Sturch 19-8-5 JustWatchingSocietyFall 19-8-3 (@AnAmerican2773) Kenneth Sisson 15-15-3 (@kksisson4) MissMolly'sMom 16-8-3 mp 23-11-6 (@angryeducatornj) Phx Hoops 16-9-4 (@SAINTTLF) Porfirio León 19-9-5 (@californio33) PSL3SubhumanAlien 18-10-5 (@Psl3Alien) Sadie La Rue 18-12-5 Seattleite 18-...
Read more

Predictions for year 2025 - mainly for entertainment purposes

Image
Totals for North Atlantic hurricane season: 22 (sub)tropical cyclones, 19 nameable storms, 6 hurricanes, 3 major (ACE=93) Totals for East Pacific hurricane season: 18(sub)tropical cyclones, 17 nameable storms, 10 hurricanes, 4 major (ACE=89) Totals for Central Pacific hurricane season: 4 tropical cyclones, 4 nameable storms, 2 hurricanes, 1 major Totals for Pacific typhoon season: 32 storms, 18 typhoons, 10 super typhoons (JTWC count) Totals for North Indian Ocean cyclone season: 6 storms, 4 hurricane-equivalent, 2 major hurricane-equivalent (JTWC count) One (sub)tropical storm in Mediterranean, one hurricane No (sub)tropical cyclones in Baltic Sea State of Niño 3.4: beginning as weak La Niña, becoming cool neutral in MAM, warm neutral in ASO Arctic sea ice minimum: 3.75 million km² Global annual average temperature: 1.20 degrees Celsius above 20th century average Circle coloration scheme Individual storm tracks in North Atlantic Tropical Storm ANDREA   Tropical Depression TWO ...
Read more