Verification of non-detection of Gil

I made no tracks of Tropical Storm Gil. Within 384 hours of cyclogenesis, there were 14 instances, where I missed cyclogenesis.

At the lead time of 1 day (24 hours), there were no misses.
At the lead time of 2 days (48 hours), there were no misses.
At the lead time of 3 days (72 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 4 days (96 hours), there were misses.
At the lead time of 5 days (120 hours), there were 2 misses.
At the lead time of 6 days (144 hours), there were 2 misses.
At the lead time of 7 days (168 hours), there were 2 misses.
At the lead time of 8 days (192 hours), there were no misses.
At the lead time of 9 days (216 hours), there were no misses.
At the lead time of 10 days (240 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 11 days (264 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 12 days (288 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 13 days (312 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 14 days (336 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 15 days (360 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 16 days (384 hours), there was 1 miss.

The GEFS runs with complete misses were:

July 19, 06Z
July 20, 06Z
July 21, 12Z
July 22, 06Z
July 23, 06Z

July 24, 06Z
July 25, 06Z
July 28, 12Z
July 28, 18Z
July 29, 06Z

July 30, 06Z
July 30, 18Z
July 31, 06Z
August 1, 06Z

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Verification of tracks made of Jimena

2024 hurricane season predictions

Advisory list