Verification of East Pacific ghost storm tracks of November-December 2020
I falsely detected (sub)tropical cyclogenesis in (or crossover into) East Pacific (north of
equator and east of 140 degrees west) 50 times in November thru December of 2020.
Tracks were made of 10 systems.
In the calculations, crossover from Atlantic as a
tropical cyclone is considered equal to formation or regeneration.
At the lead time of 1 day (24 hours), there were 0 false detections.
At the lead time of 2 days (48 hours), there was 0 false detections.
At the lead time of 3 days (72 hours), there were 0 false detections.
At the lead time of 4 days (96 hours), there was 1 false detection.
At the lead time of 5 days (120 hours), there were 4 false detections.
At the lead time of 6 days (144 hours), there were 8 false detections.
At the lead time of 7 days (168 hours), there were 5 false detections.
At the lead time of 8 days (192 hours), there were 6 false detections.
At the lead time of 9 days (216 hours), there were 6 false detections.
At the lead time of 10 days (240 hours), there were 8 false detections.
At the lead time of 11 days (264 hours), there were 13 false detections.
At the lead time of 12 days (288 hours), there were 13 false detections.
At the lead time of 13 days (312 hours), there were 10 false detections.
At the lead time of 14 days (336 hours), there were 12 false detections.
At the lead time of 15 days (360 hours), there were 13 false detections.
At the lead time of 16 days (384 hours), there were 12 false detections.
At the lead time of 17 days (408 hours), there were 11 false detections.
At the lead time of 18 days (432 hours), there were 10 false detections.
At the lead time of 19 days (456 hours), there were 10 false detections.
At the lead time of 20 days (480 hours), there were 5 false detections.
Ghost storm E#69
November 3, 06Z:
November 8, 18Z:
November 11, 12Z:
November 15, 12Z:
November 17, 12Z:
November 18, 12Z:
November 19, 12Z:
Ghost storm L#93
This was an area of interest in the Caribbean. Only the tracks with crossover are shown here.
November 16, 12Z:
Ghost storm L#96
November 9, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#70
November 18, 12Z:
November 20, 12Z:
November 21, 12Z:
November 22, 12Z:
November 23, 12Z:
November 25, 12Z:
November 27, 12Z:
November 29, 12Z:
November 30, 18Z:
December 1, 18Z:
December 2, 12Z:
December 2, 18Z:
Ghost storm E#71
November 23, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#72
November 25, 12Z:
November 26, 12Z:
November 27, 12Z:
November 28, 12Z:
November 30, 12Z:
December 1, 12Z:
December 2, 12Z:
December 4, 18Z:
December 5, 12Z:
Ghost storm L#102
November 27, 12Z:
November 29, 12Z:
November 30, 18Z:
Ghost storm E#73
December 13, 12Z:
December 14, 12Z:
December 17, 12Z:
December 19, 12Z:
December 20, 12Z:
December 21, 12Z:
December 22, 12Z:
December 22, 18Z:
December 23, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#74
December 24, 12Z:
December 25, 12Z:
December 26, 12Z:
December 27, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#75
December 27, 12Z:
December 28, 12Z:
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