Verification of East Pacific ghost storm tracks of January-May 2021
I falsely detected (sub)tropical cyclogenesis in East Pacific (north of
equator and east of 140 degrees west) 51 times in January thru May 2021.
In the same time period, I falsely detected 4 crossovers from North Atlantic. Tracks were made of 14 systems.
In the calculations, crossover from Atlantic as a
tropical cyclone is considered equal to formation or regeneration.
At the lead time of 1 day (24 hours), there were 0 false detections.
At the lead time of 2 days (48 hours), there was 1 false detection.
At the lead time of 3 days (72 hours), there were 3 false detections.
At the lead time of 4 days (96 hours), there were 4 false detections.
At the lead time of 5 days (120 hours), there were 4 false detections.
At the lead time of 6 days (144 hours), there were 5 false detections.
At the lead time of 7 days (168 hours), there were 5 false detections.
At the lead time of 8 days (192 hours), there were 8 false detections.
At the lead time of 9 days (216 hours), there were 9 false detections.
At the lead time of 10 days (240 hours), there were 13 false detections.
At the lead time of 11 days (264 hours), there were 18 false detections.
At the lead time of 12 days (288 hours), there were 17 false detections.
At the lead time of 13 days (312 hours), there were 19 false detections.
At the lead time of 14 days (336 hours), there were 19 false detections.
At the lead time of 15 days (360 hours), there were 20 false detections.
At the lead time of 16 days (384 hours), there were 15 false detections.
At the lead time of 17 days (408 hours), there were 16 false detections.
At the lead time of 18 days (432 hours), there were 14 false detections.
At the lead time of 19 days (456 hours), there were 11 false detections.
At the lead time of 20 days (480 hours), there were 9 false detections.
At the lead time of 21 days (504 hours), there were 7 false detections.
Ghost storm E#01
January 4, 12Z:
January 6, 12Z:
January 9, 06Z:
January 9, 12Z:
January 9, 18Z:
January 12, 18Z:
January 13, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#02
January 6, 12Z:
January 9, 12Z:
January 11, 12Z:
January 14, 12Z:
Ghost storm L#07
For this Atlantic system, only the one track with crossover into East Pacific is shown.
January 13, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#03
March 6, 18Z:
March 7, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#04
March 30, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#05
April 12, 12Z:
April 13, 06Z:
April 13, 12Z:
April 14, 06Z:
April 15, 06Z:
April 15, 12Z:
April 16, 06Z:
April 18, 18Z:
April 19, 06Z:
April 20, 12Z:
April 22, 06Z:
April 23, 06Z:
April 24, 12Z:
System E#06
System E#07
Ghost storm E#08
April 27, 12Z:
April 28, 06Z:
April 29, 06Z:
May 1, 18Z:
May 2, 12Z:
May 4, 12Z:
May 6, 12Z:
Ghost storm L#15
For this Atlantic system, only the tracks with crossover into East Pacific are shown.
May 2, 06Z:
May 5, 18Z:
Ghost storm E#09
May 3, 18Z:
Ghost storm E#10
May 10, 18Z:
May 18, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#11
May 18, 12Z:
May 19, 12Z:
May 20, 06Z:
May 20, 12Z:
May 22, 12Z:
May 22, 18Z:
May 23, 12Z:
May 24, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#12
This was Invest 93E. These tracks continued in June.
May 22, 18Z:
May 24, 12Z:
May 24, 18Z:
May 25, 12Z:
May 26, 18Z:
System E#13
Ghost storm L#16
This Atlantic system was Claudette - however, since Claudette was not an EPac system, the only track with crossover is listed as a ghost storm here.
May 26, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#14
May 26, 12Z:
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