Predictions for year 2019 - mainly for entertainment purposes
Totals for Atlantic hurricane season: 15 (sub)tropical cyclones, 13 nameable storms, 5 hurricanes, 3 major (ACE=132)
Totals for East Pacific hurricane season: 20 nameable storms, 7 hurricanes, 3 major
Totals for Central Pacific hurricane season: 10 nameable storms, 6 hurricanes, 3 major
Totals for Pacific typhoon season: 25 storms, 11 typhoons, 3 super typhoons (JTWC count)
Totals for North Indian Ocean cyclone season: 2 storms, no hurricane-equivalent (JTWC count)
One medicane, which is not of hurricane intensity
Weak to moderate El Niño for 2018-19 winter, which decreases to very weak El Niño for the peak hurricane season, and later starts to re-intensify towards a strong El Niño
Arctic sea ice extent minimum: 4.80 million km²
Global annual average temperature: 0.95 degrees Celsius above 20th century average (0.01 degrees above the record from 2016)
Totals for East Pacific hurricane season: 20 nameable storms, 7 hurricanes, 3 major
Totals for Central Pacific hurricane season: 10 nameable storms, 6 hurricanes, 3 major
Totals for Pacific typhoon season: 25 storms, 11 typhoons, 3 super typhoons (JTWC count)
Totals for North Indian Ocean cyclone season: 2 storms, no hurricane-equivalent (JTWC count)
One medicane, which is not of hurricane intensity
Weak to moderate El Niño for 2018-19 winter, which decreases to very weak El Niño for the peak hurricane season, and later starts to re-intensify towards a strong El Niño
Arctic sea ice extent minimum: 4.80 million km²
Global annual average temperature: 0.95 degrees Celsius above 20th century average (0.01 degrees above the record from 2016)
Individual storm tracks in Atlantic
Circle coloration scheme
Tropical Storm ANDREA
Tropical Storm BARRY
Hurricane CHANTAL
Hurricane DORIAN
Tropical Storm ERIN
Hurricane FERNAND
Tropical Depression SEVEN
Tropical Storm GABRIELLE
Tropical Storm HUMBERTO
Hurricane IMELDA
Hurricane JERRY
Tropical Storm KAREN
Tropical Storm LORENZO
Tropical Storm MELISSA
Tropical Depression FIFTEEN
Predictions for 2018: https://disqus.com/home/discussion/channel-weatherunderground/predictions_for_2018_mainly_for_entertainment_purposes/
ReplyDeletePredictions for 2017: https://www.wunderground.com/blog/elioe/predictions-for-2017--mainly-for-entertainment-purposes.html
Predictions for 2016: https://www.wunderground.com/blog/elioe/my-2016-hurricane-season-prediction-and-some-other-predictions-amateu.html