Verification of East Pacific ghost storm tracks of August-October 2021
I falsely detected (sub)tropical cyclogenesis in East Pacific (north of
equator and east of 140 degrees west) 29 times in August thru October of
2021. Additionally, North Atlantic cyclogenesis lead to crossover into East Pacific 1 time. Tracks were made of 14 systems.
In the calculations, crossover from Atlantic as a
tropical cyclone is considered equal to formation.
Exiting the East Pacific tracking map through its left edge is considered equal to dissipation.
At the lead time of 1 day (24 hours), there were 2 false detections.
At the lead time of 2 days (48 hours), there was 1 false detection.
At the lead time of 3 days (72 hours), there was 1 false detection.
At the lead time of 4 days (96 hours), there were 3 false detections.
At the lead time of 5 days (120 hours), there were 5 false detections.
At the lead time of 6 days (144 hours), there were 5 false detections.
At the lead time of 7 days (168 hours), there were 6 false detections.
At the lead time of 8 days (192 hours), there were 6 false detections.
At the lead time of 9 days (216 hours), there were 5 false detections.
At the lead time of 10 days (240 hours), there were 6 false detections.
At the lead time of 11 days (264 hours), there were 7 false detections.
At the lead time of 12 days (288 hours), there were 8 false detections.
At the lead time of 13 days (312 hours), there were 8 false detections.
At the lead time of 14 days (336 hours), there were 8 false detections.
At the lead time of 15 days (360 hours), there were 8 false detections.
At the lead time of 16 days (384 hours), there were 9 false detections.
At the lead time of 17 days (408 hours), there were 9 false detections.
At the lead time of 18 days (432 hours), there were 10 false detections.
At the lead time of 19 days (456 hours), there were 11 false detections.
At the lead time of 20 days (480 hours), there were 10 false detections.
At the lead time of 21 days (504 hours), there were 7 false detections.
Circle coloration scheme
Ghost storm E#34
August 3, 12Z:August 4, 12Z:
August 7, 18Z:
Ghost storm E#35
August 7, 18Z:
August 11, 18Z:
August 15, 12Z:
August 21, 18Z:
Ghost storm E#36
August 11, 18Z:
Ghost storm L#33
August 11, 18Z:
System E#37
System E#38
Ghost storm E#39
September 2, 06Z:
System E#40
Ghost storm E#41
This was an area of interest.
September 6, 06Z:
September 10, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#42
September 14, 06Z:
September 15, 06Z:
September 16, 06Z:
September 17, 00Z:
September 27, 06Z:
Ghost storm E#43
September 17, 00Z:
Ghost storm E#44
This was an area of interest.
September 27, 06Z:
September 30, 12Z:
System E#45
System E#46
Ghost storm E#47
October 6, 12Z:
October 11, 18Z:
Ghost storm E#48
October 11, 18Z:
System E#49
Ghost storm E#50
October 20, 12Z:
October 21, 12Z:
October 27, 12Z:
Ghost storm E#51
October 25, 06Z:
October 27, 12Z:
October 30, 06Z:
Ghost storm E#52
October 27, 12Z:
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