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Showing posts from March, 2022

Ranking of 2021 Atlantic hurricane season predictions

 As I'm writing this, post-season analysis has advanced to the point, that any changes in seasonal totals are unlikely. The winner is clear: Congratulations Joseph Sturch !!!!!     The combined error is calculated as follows: sqrt( (E_ns)^2 / 12.1 + (E_hu)^2 / 6.4 + (E_mh)^2 / 2.7 )   where E_ns is error in number of nameable storms, E_hu is error in number of hurricanes and E_mh is error in number of of major hurricanes. The following has the format of ranking. / predicted named storms / predicted hurricanes / predicted major hurricanes / combined error and Disqus/Twitter handle at time of giving prediction      1. / 20 / 8 / 4 / 0.48877 Joseph Sturch 97L(Ravensfan)  2. / 19 / 7 / 4 / 0.57496 Barefootontherocks  2. / 19 / 7 / 4 / 0.57496 Weatherfan1013  4. / 21 / 9 / 4 / 0.79057 TornadoFan  5. / 20 / 9 / 4 / 0.84122 Seattleite  6. / 23 / 8 / 5 / 0.92585 SRQfl  7. / 18 / 8 / 4 / 0.94871 ClimateNHBSH  8. / 19 / 9 / 4 / 0.97754 GatorWX  9. / 21 / 9 / 3 / 0.99768 Mi