Verification of non-detection of Imelda

I made no tracks of Tropical Storm Imelda. Within 384 hours of cyclogenesis, there were ten instances, where I missed cyclogenesis.


At the lead time of 1 day (24 hours), there were 0 misses.
At the lead time of 2 days (48 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 3 days (72 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 4 days (96 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 5 days (120 hours), there were 2 misses.
At the lead time of 6 days (144 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 7 days (168 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 8 days (192 hours), there were 2 misses.
At the lead time of 9 days (216 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 10 days (240 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 11 days (264 hours), there were 2 misses.
At the lead time of 12 days (288 hours), there were 2 misses.
At the lead time of 13 days (312 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 14 days (336 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 15 days (360 hours), there was 1 miss.
At the lead time of 16 days (384 hours), there was 1 miss.

The GEFS runs with complete misses were:

September 2, 00Z
September 4, 00Z
September 6, 06Z
September 7, 06Z
September 8, 06Z

September 10, 06Z
September 11, 06Z
September 13, 00Z
September 14, 06Z
September 16, 06Z

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