elioe's tracks

I made three tracks of Tropical Storm Bill, before it was assessed as a tropical cyclone. I made three more tracks after cyclogenesis. Additionally, within 504 hours of cyclogenesis, there were 20 instances, when I missed cyclogenesis entirely. As of this analysis, best track positions are available June 13, 00Z thru June 16, 00Z, and as such, position comparisons are possible only for this timespan. Since I give only SSHS categories in my tracks, I don't calculate intensity errors in units of speed, but in categories. For this purpose, I define tropical or subtropical storms as "Category 0", tropical or subtropical depressions as "Category -1" and non-existence of a tropical or subtropical cyclone as "Category -2". In the three tracks (made before operationally recognized cyclogenesis), formation times ranged between June 13, 00Z and June 14, 12Z. Average was June 13, 06Z and median was June 13, 00Z. In the 24 cases (4 tracks, before th...

I made five tracks of Tropical Storm Blanca, before it was assessed as a tropical cyclone. I made two more tracks after cyclogenesis. Additionally, within 504 hours of cyclogenesis, there were 20 instances, when I missed cyclogenesis entirely. As of this analysis, best track positions are available May 28, 18Z thru June 4, 06Z, and as such, position comparisons are possible only for this timespan. Since I give only SSHS categories in my tracks, I don't calculate intensity errors in units of speed, but in categories. For this purpose, I define tropical or subtropical storms as "Category 0", tropical or subtropical depressions as "Category -1" and non-existence of a tropical or subtropical cyclone as "Category -2". In the five tracks (made before operationally recognized cyclogenesis), formation times ranged between May 30, 18Z and June 1, 18Z. Average and median was June 1, 00Z. In the 26 cases (6 tracks, before the tracks and data agreed...

I made no tracks of Tropical Storm Ana, before it was assessed as a subtropical cyclone. I made three tracks after cyclogenesis. Additionally, within 504 hours of cyclogenesis, there were 28 instances, when I missed cyclogenesis entirely. As of this analysis, best track positions are available May 19, 00Z thru May 24, 00Z, and as such, position comparisons are possible only for this timespan. Since I give only SSHS categories in my tracks, I don't calculate intensity errors in units of speed, but in categories. For this purpose, I define tropical or subtropical storms as "Category 0", tropical or subtropical depressions as "Category -1" and non-existence of a tropical or subtropical cyclone as "Category -2". Statistics about formation time are not applicable. In the 28 cases (0 tracks, before the tracks and data agreed, that (sub)tropical storm would remain the peak intensity, and 28 complete misses), range, average and median of peak inte...

I made 29 tracks of Tropical Storm Andres from 25 model cycles, before it was assessed as a tropical cyclone. In four model cycles, there were two non-contemporary tracks identifiable as Andres - from now on, those will be counted as one. I made two more tracks after cyclogenesis. Additionally, within 504 hours of cyclogenesis, there were 15 instances, when I missed cyclogenesis entirely. As of this analysis, best track positions are available May 6, 12Z thru May 11, 12Z, and as such, position comparisons are possible only for this timespan. Since I give only SSHS categories in my tracks, I don't calculate intensity errors in units of speed, but in categories. For this purpose, I define tropical or subtropical storms as "Category 0", tropical or subtropical depressions as "Category -1" and non-existence of a tropical or subtropical cyclone as "Category -2". In the 25 tracks (made before operationally recognized cyclogenesis), formation times ...